Chris Brockman · Feb 23, 2026

Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.

“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Fernando MendozaFeb 23, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ty SimpsonFeb 23, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're gonna come out of the combine thinking not one, not two. Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck?... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Carson BeckFeb 23, 2026
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carson Beck
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with ARI
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New England PatriotsFeb 23, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be... next year with this with new, you know, the schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
0
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Jaxon Smith-NjigbaFeb 23, 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“JSN is the best wide receiver in the NFL and should be the highest paid at the position.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?