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Gregg Rosenthal· Jan 9, 2026

Rosenthal makes three playoff picks: the Packers over the Bears, the Rams over the Panthers, and the Texans over the Steelers, arguing Green Bay has the better quarterback in Jordan Love, that Carolina can't keep up with the Rams' running game, and that Houston's defense is a mismatch for a Pittsburgh "house of cards."

I think they're a better team, and I think the Green Bay Packers win.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina Panthers

    I will take the Rams minus ten and a half... I just don't think the Panthers can keep up in a game like that.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Bears

    I think the Green Bay Packers are going to win... I just think they're a better team, and I think the Green Bay Packers win. So that is my first pick.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    -100
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans to beat Steelers

    I feel good about taking the Texans... So I'm taking the Texans to cover those three points.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    30-6
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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