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Nick Wright· Jan 10, 2026

Nick Wright previews wild card weekend: he expects a Miami–Indiana college football title matchup, currently picks the Rams (with Stafford) to win the Super Bowl, and gives his game picks — Rams over Carolina, Bears over Packers, a one-point Bills win over Jacksonville, Patriots over Chargers by three, and Steelers over Houston.

“I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 65.9 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsJan 10, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay

    “I think the Bears are better. The Bears are at home, the Bears are healthier... I'll take Chicago plus one.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 10, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina

    “I will swallow this huge number and lay the ten and a half with the Rams.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsJan 10, 2026

    Buffalo Bills 24 — Jacksonville 23

    “deep down kind of think Buffalo is gonna win this game by one, and so like that a twenty four to twenty three Bills win”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 47.69+47.55 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    47.55
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 10, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    “I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 10, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Chargers

    “I think the Pats win, but I think the Pats win by three. I'll take the four points.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersJan 10, 2026

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston

    “I think Steelers are gonna win, and I understand Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in a decade.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    30-6
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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