Jonas Knox· Dec 26, 2025
Filling in on the Dan Patrick Show, Knox made his weekly picks: Chargers over Texans, Jaguars over Colts, Seahawks over Panthers, Bills over Eagles, and the Bears to win outright at San Francisco. He also called Ted McMillan the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year.
“I'm gonna go with the Bears on the money line.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsDec 26, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indianapolis Colts
“I'll take Jacksonville minus the six short week for Indianapolis. I'm gonna go with the Jacks here”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Award PicksTetairoa McMillanDec 26, 2025
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“you can hunt for top rookies and breakout stars like Ted McMillan. Listen, this guy's probably going to be the offensive rookie of the year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 111
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersDec 26, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Houston Texans
“I'll take the LA Chargers minus one and a half... This is a revenge game for them after what happened in the postseason”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsDec 26, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat San Francisco forty nine ers
“We're gonna go Bears, money line... I think this is an opportunity for Chicago to going there in surprise the people.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 38-42
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsDec 26, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“I'm gonna take Buffalo in this spot. They are surging... I think they get it done at home against the Eagles.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 13-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksDec 26, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Carolina
“it feels like a letdown spot for Carolina... So yeah, I'm with you. I'm gonna go Seattle on the road here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 27-10
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 38Ripley picks the Bears to beat the Vikings at Soldier Field in Week 2, 30-19, arguing Minnesota's offense is hobbled by injuries while Chicago's offense edges an aggressive but star-thin Vikings defense.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.