Andrew Erickson· Feb 22, 2026
Erickson laid out his own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay.
“That's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 fantasy rankings, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 83.2 out of 100, against 63.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026
“his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- placed:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 3
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 3: 75
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayFeb 22, 2026
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's gonna be starting quarterback where I don't know, but it's gonna be somewhere... But I'm confident he's going to start somewhere.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- ARI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kyler Murray
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026
“So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]”
Hit · 83Scored 82.86a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- placed:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 82.86
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 6: 82.86
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I still think Mike Evans is a lifer and true through to Tampa Bay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 12Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17Breech picks every Week 2 game with scores, takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks, sees a Bills-Lions shootout, predicts Baker Mayfield's revenge win over Cleveland, and says the Browns will miss the playoffs while the Dolphins go winless.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Mike EvansMiss · 0Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others.
- Tom StrachanTrade and Signing Calls · Mike EvansMiss · 0Tom Strachan offered his own 2026 free-agent landing spots, sending Aaron Rodgers to Arizona, Malik Willis to Pittsburgh, Alec Pierce to Seattle, Mike Evans to Baltimore, Deebo Samuel to Carolina, Kenneth Walker to Houston, Breece Hall to Washington, Kyle Pitts to Philadelphia and Dallas Goedert to Miami, while keeping Daniel Jones and Javonte Williams with their current teams.
More fantasy rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarFantasy RankingsClose · 77Hribar published his post-NFL Draft top-60 rookie fantasy rankings for the 2020 season, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire vaulting to No. 1 ahead of Jonathan Taylor and J.K. Dobbins.
- Mike HarmonFantasy RankingsHit · 80Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.
- Marcas GrantFantasy RankingsMiss · 25Grant says De'Von Achane deserves to be a top-three pick in fantasy drafts next season, keeps Breece Hall as the Jets' clear RB1 over Isaiah Davis, and lists his five league winners for the fantasy semifinals with Saquon Barkley on top. He also picks Josh Allen as the week's top quarterback and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as the top wide receiver.
- Jake CielyFantasy RankingsClose · 63Sealey gave his early 2026 quarterback ranks — Allen, Lamar, May and Daniels as his top four, Joe Burrow sixth, Daniel Jones 17th, Justin Herbert 10th, C.J. Stroud 25th and Sam Darnold 26th — plus tight ends with Isaiah Likely 13th and Dalton Kincaid down at 16.
- Jake CielyFantasy RankingsHit · 93Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy RankingsClose · 71Joe Pisapia's 2026 first round is receiver-heavy, starting with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ja'Marr Chase, insisting Amon-Ra St. Brown belongs in the top five, keeping Justin Jefferson in round one, and dropping Christian McCaffrey to 12. He also sees Omarion Hampton as a value who will be a top-10 pick a year later.