Erickson laid out his own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026

  “his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]”

  Scored 75a naive guess scored 50+25 skill
  How this was scored

  naive:

  a coin-flip ordering scores 50

  skill:

  25

  placed:

  3

  season:

  2025

  players:

  3

  accuracy:

  75

  baseline:

  50

  by position:

  TE 3: 75

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  could not place:

  0

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayFeb 22, 2026

  “he's gonna be starting quarterback where I don't know, but it's gonna be somewhere... But I'm confident he's going to start somewhere.”

  Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored

  club:

  ARI

  skill:

  0

  player:

  Kyler Murray

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  91.67

  baseline:

  91.67

  position:

  QB

  naive slot:

  1

  actual slot:

  2

  difficulty:

  1

  measured by:

  passing yards

  naive basis:

  where he sat last season

  weeks in the season:

  18

  predicted slot:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026

  “So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]”

  Scored 82.86a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skill
  How this was scored

  naive:

  a coin-flip ordering scores 50

  skill:

  32.86

  placed:

  6

  season:

  2025

  players:

  6

  accuracy:

  82.86

  baseline:

  50

  by position:

  QB 6: 82.86

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  could not place:

  0

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Trade and Signing CallsMike EvansTampa Bay BuccaneersFeb 22, 2026

  “I still think Mike Evans is a lifer and true through to Tampa Bay.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?