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Lance Zierlein· Sep 10, 2026

Lance's Week 1 bold prediction is that the Falcons, despite quarterback uncertainty, will win on the road against the Steelers. He also stands by an earlier call that the Texans will be the No. 1 seed, while worrying about how CJ Stroud handles adversity.

“Falcons, despite their disarray quarterback, go in to beat the Steelers.”

said on air, transcribed by us · John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Houston Texans · 2026 season

3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 and 2. Lance Zierlein said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Lance Zierlein — 1the room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsSep 10, 2026

    Atlanta Falcons to win

    “Week one of my bold prediction... And I said, Falcons beat. Falcons, despite their disarray quarterback, go in to beat the Steelers.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seeding, Byes and Home FieldHouston TexansSep 10, 2026

    Houston Texans to take the top seed

    “But you still believe this isn't a, number one seed, though, after all the things you just said. ... You said that that you think that the number one seed”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.