Gregg Rosenthal· Oct 3, 2025
Rosenthal expects the Bills to beat the Patriots but in a shootout, likes the Broncos to go into Philadelphia and win outright, and calls Seattle at home over Tampa Bay his pick of the year, believing the Seahawks are the best team in the league right now.
“I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 3, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
“I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 3, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
“it's Seattle at home against the Buccaneers. I think Seattle might be the best team in the league. ... I would go up to six seven points on this and like the Seahawks in this specific week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 38-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 3, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Philadelphia
“I'm having the Broncos win in Philadelphia. ... I like the Broncos to go in, maybe make a statement and go ahead and win it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 21-17
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Surprise Team CallsDenver BroncosOct 3, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat expectations
“And you look for surprise teams when you look for, oh, who could have a longer playoff run than you expect? ... You look to line play right now, Broncos still have one of the best offensive lines in the entire league.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Lance SandersonScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 88Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one.
- Bob MorrisScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Morris expects cleaner tackling and offensive rhythm to give Denver a close win.
- Zack KelbermanScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 86Kelberman picks a narrow Broncos home win, with Bo Nix doing just enough in the clutch.
- Keith CummingsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Cummings predicts Denver cleans things up and wins in overtime on a Wil Lutz field goal.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.