Knox predicted Dante Moore would be the Heisman favorite after the Penn State–Oregon weekend, and in the NFL picks took Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, the Rams minus 3.5, Baltimore, and the Cowboys plus seven.

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 26, 2025

  “I'll take the cow Boys plus seven please”

  Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  tie

  score:

  40-40

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  DAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  50

  naive pick:

  DAL

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensSep 26, 2025

  “I'm gonna take Baltimore as well too.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  KC

  score:

  20-37

  skill:

  -183

  they picked:

  BAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  KC

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 26, 2025

  “I'm gonna take take the Rams minus three and a half.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  LAR

  score:

  20-27

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  LAR

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  LAR

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 26, 2025

  “I will take Tampa Bay. They're trying to dial up that swamp ash.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PHI

  score:

  31-25

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  TB

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  TB

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 26, 2025

  “I'll take Pittsburgh knocks locks... I want to go with the Steelers on neutral ground.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PIT

  score:

  21-24

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  PIT

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  PIT

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?