Knox made against-the-spread picks for five NFL games, taking the Lions, Steelers, Falcons, Texans and Bills, and reiterated the Ravens as his Super Bowl pick.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Super Bowl PicksBaltimore RavensOct 31, 2025

  “They were my Super Bowl pick. I hope they go on a heater.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  champion:

  SEA

  runner up:

  NE

  naive pick:

  PHI

  difficulty:

  1.56

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 31, 2025

  “give me the bills on the money line”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  BUF

  score:

  21-28

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  BUF

  difficulty:

  1.56

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansOct 31, 2025

  “I'll take Houston. I think they're going to go two in a row here... I'll take the Texans at home.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  DEN

  score:

  18-15

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  HOU

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  HOU

  difficulty:

  1.56

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 31, 2025

  “I'm gonna take Atlanta plus five and a half. I see this as a potential bounce back spot.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NE

  score:

  23-24

  skill:

  -156

  they picked:

  ATL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  NE

  difficulty:

  1.56

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsOct 31, 2025

  “I'll take Pittsburgh plus three... I think they're probably still going to lose this game, just not by more than two and a half.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PIT

  score:

  20-27

  skill:

  -156

  they picked:

  IND

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  PIT

  difficulty:

  1.56

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 31, 2025

  “I'll take the Lions. JJ McCarthy's back... I'll take the Lions here”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?