Jonas Knox· Oct 31, 2025
Knox made against-the-spread picks for five NFL games, taking the Lions, Steelers, Falcons, Texans and Bills, and reiterated the Ravens as his Super Bowl pick.
“They were my Super Bowl pick.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 16.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 31, 2025
Detroit Lions to beat Vikings
“I'll take the Lions. JJ McCarthy's back... I'll take the Lions here”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Super Bowl PicksBaltimore RavensOct 31, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
“They were my Super Bowl pick. I hope they go on a heater.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 31, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs
“give me the bills on the money line”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansOct 31, 2025
Houston Texans to beat Broncos
“I'll take Houston. I think they're going to go two in a row here... I'll take the Texans at home.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 18-15
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 31, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to beat Patriots
“I'm gonna take Atlanta plus five and a half. I see this as a potential bounce back spot.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 23-24
- skill:
- -156
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsOct 31, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to beat Steelers
“I'll take Pittsburgh plus three... I think they're probably still going to lose this game, just not by more than two and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 20-27
- skill:
- -156
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
What others said about the same people
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense.
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
- John GranatoGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Despite the Texans' injuries at wide receiver, he picked Houston to beat Cincinnati in their upcoming game.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.