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3 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.64% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Every graded call published under this banner, by score.
Takes in each band
Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
501–525 of 549
276 / 549
graded
273 still pending
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
I had the Rams hosting the Vikings on a Saturday night, the Rams as the, the NFC West champs ... I saw that one coming before anybody put their marker on the Rams to win the West
Atlanta Falcons to take the top seed
I'll push back and call that an overreaction because the Atlanta Falcons are gonna be the the four seed.
Quinn Ewers to be picked “He's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now” (picks 1–32)
He's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now. Okay? He still has some eligibility left.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I know you wanna say that they're just gonna fall apart like always... I I just don't think that that they're not gonna lose... Yeah. I'm I'm gonna push back on that, Chris.
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
I think the commanders are in. Yeah. Having nine wins. Because the teams that we just mentioned, in order to make it, would have to win their divisions, which means the commanders are safe.
Josh Allen to win MVP
But Josh Allen, I think, has ended the MVP conversation with the win in Detroit the way that he's played the last two weeks... I am now part and parcel of the the general sense... that this MVP race is over.
Detroit Lions to win the division
The Lions might even win their division, pal.
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
Seahawks are gonna have a different starting quarterback next year... Sam Darnold? That that's kinda where I was pegging.
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
Puka might be the best receiver in the NFL.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
The Rams and this is why I chose the Rams to win the NFC West even though the Seahawks are are a game in front of them right now
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
because the Bills should be the two seed or the three seed if the Steelers somehow overtake them because they now have the same record
New Orleans Saints to pick “one of those teen draft picks”
What about somebody like the Saints who's gonna have one of those teen draft picks.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
The Falcons go to Pennicks. Have to start Michael Pennicks.
Sam Darnold to win top-five MVP finish
Sam Darnell's back in the MVP conversation. No. He's not. He's he's gonna be top five.
Josh Allen to win MVP
The MVP is down to two guys. MVP is down to one guy, really. I I even though he lost yesterday. Yeah. But he was on other world. Josh, Josh.
Denver Broncos to win
So you think you think you think you you think Bo Nix I I do. First career playoff start I do. Goes into Kansas City and won and done them. Yeah. I think that's I think that's really possible.
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
If you're coming on the air and saying, Bills and Eagles are gonna play in the Super Bowl I am.
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
what I'm saying is is that Buffalo and Philly are gonna be the one seats
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
what I'm saying is is that Buffalo and Philly are gonna be the one seats
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
If you're coming on the air and saying, Bills and Eagles are gonna play in the Super Bowl I am.
Russell Wilson to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
Russell Wilson is a top five quarterback since he's been back.
Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division
this is a guy who's gonna lead the Steelers to the AFC North title, and who knows how deep
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
The Packers are gonna make it to the divisional round again. I don't think that's an, an overreaction at all.
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
But if you're Raheem Morris, you're not gonna uncork that right now. You're just not gonna do it. ... You breathe in, you exhale, and you keep using Kirk Cousins.
Tomlin to win Coach of the Year
If the Steelers do what they're doing... you gotta you gotta get be coach of the year.