Rich Eisen · Dec 23, 2024
Eisen said the Falcons will end up the NFC's four seed but will lose Sunday night in Washington, reiterated his earlier call of the Rams as NFC West champs, agreed the Chiefs are going to the Super Bowl, and said Michigan's Will Johnson will be a top-10 NFL draft pick.
“I think they're gonna lose in Washington.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksWill JohnsonDec 23, 2024
Will Johnson to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“And we didn't have Will Johnson who may be a top 10 pick. He's gonna be a top 10 pick in in the NFL.”
Miss · 20Scored 20.13a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Will Johnson
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 20.13
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 47
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 20.13
- predicted pick:
- top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersDec 23, 2024
Washington Commanders to win
“So for Atlanta to make it, they're going to have to get a little bit of help, I think, because, I think they're gonna lose in Washington.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Division WinnersLos Angeles RamsDec 23, 2024
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I had the Rams hosting the Vikings on a Saturday night, the Rams as the, the NFC West champs ... I saw that one coming before anybody put their marker on the Rams to win the West”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldAtlanta FalconsDec 23, 2024
Atlanta Falcons to take the top seed
“I'll push back and call that an overreaction because the Atlanta Falcons are gonna be the the four seed.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsDec 23, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“That's not an overreaction, Chris. I've been saying it since the Tuesday before Labor Day.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.