Chris Brockman· Dec 16, 2024
Chris Brockman pitched Sam Darnold as Seattle's starting quarterback next season in place of Geno Smith, and said Quinn Ewers would not be a first-round quarterback if he declared now.
“Seahawks are gonna have a different starting quarterback next year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 70.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickHe's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now (picks 1–32)They said
231What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksQuinn EwersDec 16, 2024
Quinn Ewers to be picked “He's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now” (picks 1–32)
“He's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now. Okay? He still has some eligibility left.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.02a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Quinn Ewers
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.02
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 231
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.02
- predicted pick:
- He's not gonna be a first round quarterback right now (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Depth Chart CallsSam DarnoldSeattle SeahawksDec 16, 2024
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
“Seahawks are gonna have a different starting quarterback next year... Sam Darnold? That that's kinda where I was pegging.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+10.17 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 10.17
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 4
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.
- Nick WrightScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 5On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.
- Matt BowenGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.
- Ryan WilsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Jonah ColemanMiss · 0In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.