Jacksonville Jaguars 2026: The Coverage Report — 23rd in Volume, 6th in Skill, and Four Graded Roster Calls

Across all 32 clubs we have 505 tracked takes on the Jacksonville Jaguars, of which 157 are graded. That puts Jacksonville 23rd of 32 in raw take volume and tied for 28th in graded takes — fourth-fewest in the league, level with Minnesota and ahead of only Indianapolis (155), Atlanta (149) and Arizona (144). The league median is 222.5 graded takes per team. Buffalo, the most-covered club in our set, has 527.

So: light coverage, and light by a real margin — Jacksonville sits about 30% below the median team and under a third of the Bills' volume, for a club that went 13-4 and made the playoffs in 2025 after going 4-13 in 2024.

The takes that did get made, though, graded unusually well against the baseline. Jacksonville's average skill delta is +37.48, sixth-highest of the 32 teams, behind only Seattle (+56.45), New England (+45.32), Miami (+38.30), Chicago (+38.12) and the Rams (+37.72). Average accuracy on Jaguars takes is 56.2. The skill number is the more interesting one: it says the people who did write about Jacksonville were frequently taking positions a naive rule wouldn't have taken — and getting paid for it.

The cutdown: 30 calls, four grades, one clean miss

Roster-spot calls are the news hook for this series, and here the Jaguars file is thin in the way that matters. We have 30 roster-spot takes on Jacksonville. Four are graded. The other 26 are still pending, most of them from John Shipley of Sports Illustrated, whose 16-player practice-squad projection on August 31 accounts for a large block of them on its own.

The one graded surprise runs against the "veteran gets cut" grain. Carter Bahns, in a CBS Sports list of veterans at risk before the deadline, wrote that Jacksonville "would be hard-pressed to justify using a roster spot on Ameer Abdullah solely as a returner, so he appears destined for the practice squad." Abdullah was on the 53 in Week 1. The call graded 0 for accuracy and −200 in skill — the maximum penalty, because the naive baseline here ("he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again") already had him safe.

Nathan Jahnke's PFF preseason recaps read the same situation the other way — "the fact that Abdullah didn't play suggests Jacksonville will keep four running backs" — on August 28 and again on August 30. Both are still ungraded, so we can't score the disagreement yet.

The other three grades all belong to Shipley, and all three came back at 100 accuracy: Chuma Edoga going "from odd man out to a spot on the 53-man roster", and Matt Dickerson making the roster, called on August 11 and restated August 13. Worth being precise about what that's worth: each of the three scored 0 skill, because the same "he was on a 53 last year" baseline agreed with him. Shipley's site record is 3 graded takes, 100 accuracy, MissedTakes Score 0 — flagged provisional, and rightly so. He is the highest-volume Jaguars voice we track (92 takes at Sports Illustrated) and almost none of it has resolved yet. Check back when the pending 26 land.

The rest of the record

Twenty claim types carry at least one Jaguars grade. Here is where the grades actually live:

And here is how they scored:

The pattern is clean and a little unusual. Pundits nailed the *direction* of Jacksonville's 2025 season and badly missed its *magnitude*.

• Playoff picks: 14 graded, 92.9 accuracy, +177 average skill. The best-scoring claim type on the team by a distance. Brady Quinn ("it's the Jaguars that move on"), Nick Wright ("I think the Jags are going to make the playoffs"), Gregg Rosenthal, LaVar Arrington and Jason McIntyre all took Jacksonville into the field when the naive rule said no, and all scored 100.
• Division winners: 14 graded, 85.7 accuracy, +140.5 skill. Jamie Erdahl — "I put the Jags in… they can win the AFS and South" — and Quinn both beat a baseline that pointed at Houston.
• Season win totals: 11 graded, 21.8 accuracy. The worst-graded volume category on the club. In our 2025 win-total consensus, ten Jaguars calls averaged 9.0 wins against an actual 13; the highest number anybody put on the board was 11. Rosenthal's "I really like their over seven and a half" and Wright's Jags-over-7.5 ticket both cashed in real life and both graded 0 here, because the site scores the number, not the bet.
• Mock drafts: 28 graded, 65.5 accuracy, +36.55 skill. Mostly the 2025 first round: seven graded calls on Mason Graham, all at 100 accuracy, from Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, Kyle Crabbs, Nate Tice and Colin Cowherd among others.
• Game outcomes: 38 graded, 59.6 accuracy, +1.13 skill — the largest bucket, and essentially a coin flip against the baseline.
• Award picks: 6 graded, 0 accuracy. Nobody hit.

The individual player most written about is Travis Hunter: 32 takes, 11 graded, 27.3 average accuracy. That number hides a split. Rosenthal's double — OROY and DROY — missed both. Week 9 fantasy rankings had him 29th and 30th at his position; he finished first. But Tom Strachan's preseason sleeper call on him graded 100 with +200 skill. Brian Thomas Jr. went the other way entirely: 6 graded takes, 27.8 accuracy, −33.33 skill, with midseason rankings of 24th and 26th against an actual finish of 45th.

Who has earned a named record here

With a floor of five graded Jaguars takes, nine pundits qualify. All nine samples are small enough that we won't rank them:

Ten and twelve graded takes is not a record; it's a start. What it does show is that Jacksonville, one of the four least-graded teams on this site, produced some of the field's most profitable calls anyway — because taking a 4-13 team into the playoffs is exactly the kind of position a naive baseline never makes. The cost of that thin coverage is on the cutdown page, where 26 of 30 roster calls are still waiting on a verdict.

*Scoring details are on the methodology page; standings are on the leaderboard.*