Gregg Rosenthal

Gregg Rosenthal has been covering the NFL since 2012, hosting podcasts and appearing on NFL Network programming for over a decade. He hosts The NFL Daily Podcast with a rotating cast of NFL Media personalities, and co-hosts 40s and Free Agents: NFL Draft Season. He's also a familiar voice from Around the NFL and has appeared on NFL GameDay View since 2019. His work here spans the full range of NFL coverage — draft position projections, game picks, player rankings, roster decisions — with particular attention to teams like the Patriots, Chargers, Lions, and Cowboys. The "NFL Daily 32" series, ranking positions across the league, shows up frequently in his predictions, as do his mailbag responses and preseason team projections.

Writes at Fox Sports Radio (podcast)

Every take from Gregg Rosenthal, including the ones still waiting →

Is Gregg Rosenthal accurate? Across 361 graded calls in 70 articles, Gregg Rosenthal scores 61.32% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 7.89, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

61.32%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

7.89

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

361

Graded calls

across 70 articles. 182 more not yet settled.

98.63% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 361

11 of 71 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 11.

Rosenthal thinks Arvel Reese makes sense for the Jets at No. 2 overall and may well be their pick, and he expects both Manuel McNeil Warren and Dylan Thieneman — the safeties in the mix behind Caleb Downs — to be first-round selections.3 graded calls · Apr 2, 2026
- Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
  “in the mix to be the second safety Along With dylan Thieneman, from oregon and both of them are probably first, round picks”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Dillon Thieneman
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  25

Rosenthal projected several combine standouts' draft slots — Colton Hood in the first round, Dillon Thieneman in the top 25, Jacoby Lane sneaking into Day 2, Kenyan Sadik as the first tight end off the board, Mike Washington as a possible RB3 of the class, Navy's Eli Heidenreich getting drafted, Taylen Green going to Denver in the fifth round — and predicted Minkah Fitzpatrick will be on a new team in 2026.6 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere in the top twenty five picks” (picks 1–20)
“everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
somewhere in the top twenty five picks (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Taylen Green to be picked at number 176
“with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Taylen Green
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
182
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth round (picks 141–216)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Colton Hood to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Colton Hood
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
“there's one it's going to Be Kenyan steck that's called on day one and then after that there's a lot of disagreement about tight end two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
skill:
84.49
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
15.51
position:
tight end
class size:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
Mike Washington to be 3rd running back off the board
“with a workout like, that he could BE rb three in this. Class”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 39.03+10.97 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 13 at random averages 39.03
skill:
10.97
player:
Mike Washington
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
50
baseline:
39.03
position:
running back
class size:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
5
predicted order:
3
weeks left when called:
0
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
“so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza”
Miss · 0Scored 0.16a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Garrett Nussmeier
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.16
baseline:
50
actual pick:
249
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.16
predicted pick:
a third round pick (picks 65–100)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal predicts a series of offseason outcomes: Braden Smith hits free agency with Jalen Travis replacing him, Tremaine Edmunds gets traded or cut and slots between 50-100 on his free agent list (below Quay Walker), Brandon Aubrey's deal lands around $9 million per year, Andy Dalton gets cut and reaches free agency, and Jeremiah Love tops 2,000 yards next season.4 graded calls · Feb 25, 2026

Jalen Travis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Steiken made it sound like they have an in house replacement ... So it sounds like they're going to let Braden Smith hit the market if you're looking for a right tackle.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
-8.33
player:
Jalen Travis
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
1
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“I don't think that's going to prevent them from taking a running back in the in the top ten.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
DeForest Buckner to make the roster
“they expect to Forrest Buckner back by training camp from his injury, which means a he's not getting cut”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
DeForest Buckner
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
10
weeks left when called:
0
first week on the53:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Rashan Gary to make the roster
“essentially said Rashaun Gary's going to be back on his team ... So Rashaun Gary back with the Packers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
0
player:
Rashan Gary
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
18
weeks left when called:
0
first week on the53:
1
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal gives his free agent wide receiver rankings in tiers, with George Pickens and Alec Pierce a tier above, then Rashid Shaheed, Mike Evans, Wan'Dale Robinson, Romeo Doubs and Jauan Jennings, then Deebo Samuel, Jalen Nailor, Jahan Dotson, Christian Kirk and Marquise Brown. He also predicts A.J. Brown gets traded and DJ Moore gets traded or cut, and thinks Stefon Diggs returns to New England but is no longer a true No. 1 receiver.4 graded calls · Feb 10, 2026

“It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you mentioned Rashid Shaheed, I've got him. I've got Mike Evans... I've got Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, and Juwan Jennings... I knocked Evo Samuel down to this tier... Jalen Naylor... Johan Dotson... Christian Kirk... Marquise Brown”
Hit · 84Scored 83.92a naive guess scored 50+33.92 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
33.92
placed:
12
season:
2025
players:
12
accuracy:
83.92
baseline:
50
by position:
WR 12: 83.92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Stefon Diggs to make the roster
“I think I think they will keep them because I think they like what he added to the team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
0
player:
Stefon Diggs
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
21
weeks left when called:
0
first week on the53:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
A.J. Brown to move
“I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded, although that one seems like a toss up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NE (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
DJ Moore to move
“I even feel more confident that DJ Moore will get traded or cut.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
DJ Moore
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
CHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → CHI (from CAR)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship he pegs around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl.5 graded calls · Jan 23, 2026

Seattle Seahawks 23 — Rams 19
“I think it's like twenty three to nineteen something”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95.3+4.7 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-31
skill:
4.7
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95.3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“I think the Patriots are going to play nearer their best and then that results in a two or three point win. Like, I think that's kind of the outcome here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl
“because the Patriots Seahawks. That's my prediction for the Super Bowl this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“And I am taking the Seahawks. I hate doing that, but this is my official one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
“because the Patriots Seahawks. That's my prediction for the Super Bowl this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?

Gregg Rosenthal Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 3 | MissedTakes