Rosenthal takes the Rams to beat the Bears by more than a field goal, citing Chicago's poor pass rush, and picks the Bills over the Broncos largely because of matchup history and Josh Allen.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksJan 16, 2026

  “So I'm going Rams minus three and a half. We both were off on them last week... I think the Rams are a little more equipped to stop the run.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  LAR

  score:

  20-17

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  LAR

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  CHI

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksJan 16, 2026

  “So because of that, I'm gonna I will go against you and we'll just take the Bills as one of my picks.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  DEN

  score:

  30-33

  skill:

  -100

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  DEN

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?