Gregg Rosenthal· Mar 2, 2026
Rosenthal projected several combine standouts' draft slots — Colton Hood in the first round, Dillon Thieneman in the top 25, Jacoby Lane sneaking into Day 2, Kenyan Sadik as the first tight end off the board, Mike Washington as a possible RB3 of the class, Navy's Eli Heidenreich getting drafted, Taylen Green going to Denver in the fifth round — and predicted Minkah Fitzpatrick will be on a new team in 2026.
“I think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
10 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 68.5 out of 100, against 42.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksTaylen GreenMar 2, 2026
Taylen Green to be picked at number 176
“with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Taylen Green
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 182
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth round (picks 141–216)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksGarrett NussmeierMar 2, 2026
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
“so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza”
Miss · 0Scored 0.16a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Garrett Nussmeier
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.16
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 249
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.16
- predicted pick:
- a third round pick (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksDillon ThienemanMar 2, 2026
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere in the top twenty five picks” (picks 1–20)
“everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- somewhere in the top twenty five picks (picks 1–20)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksColton HoodTennessee TitansMar 2, 2026
Colton Hood to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Colton Hood
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 37
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- first round pick (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
“there's one it's going to Be Kenyan steck that's called on day one and then after that there's a lot of disagreement about tight end two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
- skill:
- 84.49
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15.51
- position:
- tight end
- class size:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Order CallsMike WashingtonMar 2, 2026
Mike Washington to be 3rd running back off the board
“with a workout like, that he could BE rb three in this. Class”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 39.03+10.97 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 13 at random averages 39.03
- skill:
- 10.97
- player:
- Mike Washington
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 39.03
- position:
- running back
- class size:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 5
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsMinkah FitzpatrickMar 2, 2026
Minkah Fitzpatrick to move
“BUT i think we're gonna be Seeing Minka fitzpatrick on a different team in twenty twenty six”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksRobert Spears-JenningsMar 2, 2026
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “a day three pick”
“maybe he's A day three, pick like we'll see it has a big. Day”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJa'Kobi LaneMar 2, 2026
Ja'Kobi Lane to be picked “a little higher into day two”
“you mentioned how Jacobi Lane, the USC kid, you know, had a good day and he was looked at as maybe more of a third round pick, and now maybe like he sneaks up a little higher into day two”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksEli HeidenreichMar 2, 2026
Eli Heidenreich to be picked “gonna get drafted”
“I think that dude is gonna get drafted if nothing. Else and you don't see that too often out of maybe.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Cam WardHit · 100Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Cody KesslerMock Draft Picks · Cam WardHit · 100Kessler disagreed that the Titans can skip a quarterback, predicting Tennessee takes Cam Ward with the first overall pick, and said Ward will be the first quarterback drafted in this class.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Abdul CarterHit · 92In his latest mock draft, Jeremiah has the Titans staying at No. 1 and selecting Penn State pass rusher Abdul Carter first overall.
- Eric CohenGame Outcome Picks · Tennessee TitansMiss · 0Cohen says the Bears win easily in Carolina, and that Tennessee starts 1-0 over a Jets team he considers the third-worst in the league.
- Kirk HerbstreitGame Outcome Picks · Tennessee TitansMiss · 0Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.