Gregg Rosenthal · Apr 2, 2026
Rosenthal thinks Arvel Reese makes sense for the Jets at No. 2 overall and may well be their pick, and he expects both Manuel McNeil Warren and Dylan Thieneman — the safeties in the mix behind Caleb Downs — to be first-round selections.
“I was thinking he's a good pick for the Jets at two... he might have the higher ceiling so they might take him.”
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3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksApr 2, 2026
“I was thinking he's the smart he's a good pick for the Jets at two, and they're thinking a little bit more about twenty twenty seven supposedly, and that he might have the higher ceiling so they might take him.”
Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksApr 2, 2026
“in the mix to be the second safety Along With dylan Thieneman, from oregon and both of them are probably first, round picks”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksApr 2, 2026
“a Manuel McNeil Warren the toledo player who is in the mix to be the second safety Along With dylan Thieneman, from oregon and both of them are probably first, round picks”
Scored 32.42a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 32.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 32.42
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score