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Jonas Knox· Sep 18, 2026

Knox took the Bears to cover against the Vikings, said New England would probably beat Pittsburgh even while taking the points, picked the Bengals to win outright in Houston, and took the Broncos over the Jaguars and the Rams over the Giants.

I think New England probably wins that game, but I'll take Pittsburgh getting the points.

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    I'm going to take the Denver Broncos... Minus two and a half against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans

    I'll take Cincinnati. Not a believer in Houston at the quarterback position... I'll take the Bengals to win that game outright.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota Vikings

    Take the bears minus four and a half.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to beat Steelers

    I think the Steelers keep it close. I think New England probably wins that game, but I'll take Pittsburgh getting the points.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants

    I got the Rams. I don't believe the Giants at all... I just think the Rams bounce back... And they deliver the goods on Monday night.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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