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Jonas Knox· Dec 19, 2025

Jonas picked the Bears over the Packers, the Buccaneers to cover at Carolina, the Broncos to cover against Jacksonville, the Ravens to cover against New England, and the Colts on the money line against San Francisco.

“I'll take the Colts on the money line.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsDec 19, 2025

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay Packers

    “I think the Bears might just one and a half knocks locks Bears”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    16-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersDec 19, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Carolina Panthers

    “I'll take the Bucks minus three knocks Loucks.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    20-23
    skill:
    -117
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosDec 19, 2025

    Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    “I think Denver Lorena's Denver Broncos cover as a three point... knocks locks”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    34-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensDec 19, 2025

    Baltimore Ravens to beat New England Patriots

    “I'll take Baltimore minus three knocks locks”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    28-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsDec 19, 2025

    Indianapolis Colts to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “I'll take the Colts on the money line. O knocks locks”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    48-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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