What's Wright with Nick Wright
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
What they call, and how it goes
The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.
- Game Outcome Picks16 graded41.32 accuracy
- Playoff Picks14 graded38 accuracy
- Season Win Totals11 graded36.67 accuracy
Form
Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.
Graded calls · 50
“I think they will likely go to Los Angeles and beat the Chargers.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 38-24
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
“But this feels like a Philly six point win... So I'll take Philly despite all the noise around to minus the three and a half”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 21-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
“Yeah. I think Baltimore is gonna win. And I think there is added value here because ten days ago this game was Baltimore minus nine and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 44-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
“I love Minnesota laying a field laying less than a field goal... So I love Minnesota minus two and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 21-24
- skill:
- -183
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“I mean, Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar... I believe the Chiefs are better than Baltimore... I'll take the Chiefs here.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“If I had to bet a side here, I would definitely bet green Bay... I think that a blowout is far more likely than a Dallas victory.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- tie
- score:
- 40-40
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“But this is the one that we're going with. I don't see green Bay losing that game.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- tie
- score:
- 40-40
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“Buffalo can dominate this game and should dominate this game”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 19-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“It looks like you like Dallas there Demons' yeah. I would love minus one... Caylee dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 14-31
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“And I know you all expected me to have the Chiefs minus six at the Giants because I'm so confident they're going to win. I don't know if it's gonna be pretty. I just believe they're gonna win.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 22-9
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“Yeah, so I think Green Bay is gonna annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- -189
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“I hope you're right. I picked New England make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 189
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“So Demonsay's on the record he likes New England to win out right there... I think the team with Aaron Rodgers' comments... in New England, like they're showing some continuity.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 21-14
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“next year he likely becomes the NFL's first ever three times Comeback Player of the Year winner”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Christian McCaffrey
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
“The Chiefs aren't. That's fine, but go ahead and pencil the Chiefs in for one of the playoff spots.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 17
“I also spoiler alert don't think Kansas City is going to lose. And I think that the Chiefs being home dogs with Patrick being healthy is a slap in the face... But I think Kansas City is better than Philadelphia.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
“If you remember, I had a missing the playoffs, not having a bad year, but just being odd man out. And then they got Mike and I said, okay, I'll put him in the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 17
“we are betting the overs for the following teams with the following Juice Jags over seven and a half minus one twenty five”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Then favorite, I gotta say, man, I think it's the Jags over seven and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“And Atlanta over seven and a half at minus one forty”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Kansas City defeat Tampa Bay at plus eleven thousand.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think the Raiders win this game. And I'm getting two and a half points.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LV
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“This feels to me like twenty one to twenty Raiders.”
Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 38.16+95.1 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 95.1
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 85.71
- baseline:
- 38.16
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
“Giant Giants five to one for a quarter unit ... Those are make playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think Miami wins the game outright... I'll take Miami plus one at Indy”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 8-33
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think the Chiefs are the best team in football. I think the Chargers are around the fourteenth best team in football.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The Raiders over six and a half at minus one forty five.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Jags plus one eighty, Chiefs minus three eighty ... Those are make playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Raiders plus three forty for a half unit ... Those are make playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The Colts under seven and a half at minus one thirty. This is my favorite of the unders. I think they could end up with the number one pick of the draft.”
Scored 10.51a naive guess scored 18.46-15.9 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 14 the year before
- skill:
- -15.9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 10.51
- baseline:
- 18.46
- actual pick:
- 53
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Buffalo getting one at home against Baltimore... Buffalo is too good of a team to be a home dog”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 40-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The Bears over eight and a half at plus one point fifteen. I like everything about the team.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 90
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Tampa over nine and a half is probably my favorite bet of all of these... I think that they are going to win at least eleven games, maybe twelve or thirteen.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 75-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“and the Bucks minus one seventy. Those are make playoffs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think the Jags are going to make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I think that they are, you know, a seven to eight win team, so I will take under ten and a half for the Niners.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 5-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- 7.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs at least ten games, I should say.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Joe Flacco
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“If in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dillon Gabriel
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“And the numbers four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half, and so I will go over four and a half”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty... I'm gonna lay minus three eighty”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a half juice slightly to the over... So because of that, I'm an over.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 55-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs... at five to one, I'm good with it.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty... I just like the value at plus three forty.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 45-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“If you're here, is what my rankings would look like. If I were doing, I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him. Jaden Daniels eight, Baker And then it gets trickier.”
Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- placed:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 8
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 8: 66.67
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“there are some teams everyone has penciled into the playoffs that are going to be left without a chair... It's not gonna be the Chiefs without a chair”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18