What's Wright with Nick Wright · Sep 27, 2025

The host (Speaker 1, unnamed in the transcript) laid out his five Week 4 plays and several leans on games he was passing on, most firmly backing Minnesota over Pittsburgh in Dublin and Kansas City to beat Baltimore at home, while also leaning Green Bay at Dallas, Philadelphia at Tampa, the Rams over Indianapolis and Buffalo over New Orleans.

“I mean, Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“I mean, Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar... I believe the Chiefs are better than Baltimore... I'll take the Chiefs here.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
20-37
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“I love Minnesota laying a field laying less than a field goal... So I love Minnesota minus two and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
21-24
skill:
-183
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“Buffalo can dominate this game and should dominate this game”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
19-31
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“If I had to bet a side here, I would definitely bet green Bay... I think that a blowout is far more likely than a Dallas victory.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
40-40
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“you got Indie plus three and a half at the Rams... I lean Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 27, 2025
“I think Philly is the right side in this... but if I were to Philly, to me, is the right side of it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?