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Nick Wright· Sep 11, 2025

The host (unnamed in the transcript) picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in their Week 2 Super Bowl rematch, insists the Chiefs will make the playoffs, restates his preseason picks of Washington to win the NFC East and Green Bay to make the playoffs, and calls Baltimore winning the AFC North a fair assumption.

“I also spoiler alert don't think Kansas City is going to lose.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 2 division winners, 2 playoff picks and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Division WinnersWashington CommandersSep 11, 2025

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    “My concern with Washington, and again I had them winning their division, so I didn't have a huge concern.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -194
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Division WinnersBaltimore RavensSep 11, 2025

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “if we think Baltimore is gonna win that division, which I think is a fair assumption”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 11, 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “The Chiefs aren't. That's fine, but go ahead and pencil the Chiefs in for one of the playoff spots.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersSep 11, 2025

    Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “If you remember, I had a missing the playoffs, not having a bad year, but just being odd man out. And then they got Mike and I said, okay, I'll put him in the playoffs.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 11, 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Philadelphia

    “I also spoiler alert don't think Kansas City is going to lose. And I think that the Chiefs being home dogs with Patrick being healthy is a slap in the face... But I think Kansas City is better than Philadelphia.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these