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Nick Wright· Nov 22, 2025

Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.

despite Miles Garrett, who might get twenty five sacks this year, just playing at an all time level

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 94.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

sacks
25They said
23What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Myles Garrett to record 25 sacks

    despite Miles Garrett, who might get twenty five sacks this year, just playing at an all time level

    Hit · 84Scored 84a naive guess scored 0+116.76 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    9.03
    skill:
    116.76
    what happened:
    23
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    84
    baseline:
    0
    predicted:
    25
    statistic:
    sacks
    difficulty:
    1.39
    last season:
    14
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    position average:
    4.06
    zero at percent out:
    50

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to beat Pittsburgh

    I am rolling with Chicago laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh... It feels like a Bear's ugly three point win.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    28-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Tennessee

    I will lay the thirteen and a half with Seattle. Seattle is at Tennessee... I will take Seattle laying the thirteen and a half

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    30-24
    skill:
    139
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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