LaVar Arrington · Sep 19, 2025
Arrington sees the Dolphins winning only three or four more games the rest of the way, expects Baltimore to beat Miami, money-lined the Broncos outright at the Chargers and the Lions outright in Baltimore, and agreed the Chiefs will blow out the Giants.
“I'm gonna money line the Detroit Lions... the lines are gonna win that game out right on the road, outright in Baltimore.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensSep 19, 2025
“You got the Ravens. They gonna win that.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 28-6
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 19, 2025
“what if the Chiefs just come out and obliterate the Giants?... I think they will.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 22-9
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Season Win TotalsMiami DolphinsSep 19, 2025
“I mean, so we're looking at I don't know, man, three. four more. At the most, maybe four more wins.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 75-66.15 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIA
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- -66.15
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsSep 19, 2025
“I'm gonna money line the Detroit Lions, sticks picks, the lines are gonna win that game out right on the road, outright in Baltimore.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 38-30
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosSep 19, 2025
“the Broncos are headed... Chargers are two and a half point favorites... We don't need to beat around the bush. We go point money line them horses, sticks picks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.