Cynthia Frelund· Oct 31, 2025
Freeland picked New England to beat the Falcons at home, the Chargers to blow out the Titans, and the Packers to beat the Panthers by more than 12.5 points; her model also sides with the Bills over the Chiefs. She also expects Kyler Murray, not Jacoby Brissett, to start for Arizona.
“I want Packers over twelve and a half by win by more than twelve and a half points.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 78.3 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayArizona CardinalsOct 31, 2025
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think it's possible that Jonathan Gannon's like, let's throw out Jacoby Brissett in front of the media, but we're going with Kyler.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- ARI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kyler Murray
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 31, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs
“My my model's picking the Bills.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 31, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Carolina Panthers
“At home, the Packers twelve and a half. I like that one against the Carolina Panthers... Packers over twelve and a half by win by more than twelve and a half points.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 16-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 31, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Falcons
“I'm going to go with New England to cover I know five and a half it's at home”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 23-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersOct 31, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Titans
“I'm looking at this Chargers team and I'm looking at what's going on the Titans... I just don't understand how you stop the Chargers at half capacity.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAC
- score:
- 27-20
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
What others said about the same people
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Arizona CardinalsMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Connor predicted the Patriots would rout the Steelers at home in Week 2, expecting a heavy run game in bad weather.
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles ChargersClose · 40Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Brady QuinnGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100In the weekly Picks Against the Spread segment, Quinn took the Vikings to beat the Bears outright, the Bengals to win outright in Houston, the Broncos to beat the Jaguars while laying points, and the Rams to beat the Giants while laying seven.