Gregg Rosenthal · Sep 19, 2025

Rosenthal restates his preseason Super Bowl pick of the Ravens beating the Lions, agrees with Cowboys, Texans and Patriots picks in Week 3, takes the Ravens over Detroit in a high-scoring game he pegs at 41-31, and calls Jacksonville a playoff team that could land the AFC's seven seed.

“I love points. I think it's like forty one to thirty one.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

10 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome PicksSep 19, 2025
“The Patriots ooh, I do agree with you on this, but I'm like a little freaked out... I'm with you. I think I think it's close”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
21-14
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 19, 2025
“I did hit the Cowboys game. We agree on that... that's ultimately why I picked the Cowboys.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
14-31
skill:
-189
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl PicksSep 19, 2025
“the Super Bowl this year is going to feature your Detroit Lions and my Baltimore Ravens because that was my super Bowl pick before the year, with the Ravens winning”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsSep 19, 2025
“I love points. I think it's like forty one to thirty one.”
Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 35.78+17.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
38-30
skill:
17.87
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
35.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 19, 2025
“I'm going against the Lions as my third pick. I'm taking the Ravens minus four and a half... I am going Ravens.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
38-30
skill:
0
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksSep 19, 2025
“the Jacksonville run game looks really good. I think they I think they're a proof team. I think they could be the seven seed, for instance in the AFC.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
189
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsSep 19, 2025
“I'm telling you, I love the Travion breakout.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Conference ChampionsSep 19, 2025
“I'm convinced that this is going to be an elite Lions offense. That's why I have them in the Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Seeding, Byes and Home FieldSep 19, 2025
“I think they could be the seven seed, for instance in the AFC.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 19, 2025
“I think that the Textan's top the Jags. / I'm on your side too... That was my pick on game debut.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?