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Nick Wright· Feb 6, 2026

Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP.

Seattle '27, New England 17 ... Is my official prediction.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 61.9 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Rashid Shaheed to win Super Bowl MVP

    So I'm going with a guy who I think can score points without anyone else getting the stats for it, and that's Rasheed Shaheed.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Rashid Shaheed
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    Seattle's defense is better than New England. Seattle's coach annihilates young quarterbacks. ... Is my official prediction.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 27 — New England 17

    Seattle '27, New England 17 That one hurts. Is my official prediction.

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 16.73+68.98 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    68.98
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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