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Tyler Sullivan· Sep 14, 2026

Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20.

Tyler Sullivan's pick: Broncos 24-20 over Chiefs

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 9.5 out of 100, against 51.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos 24 — Chiefs 20

    Tyler Sullivan's pick: Broncos 24-20 over Chiefs (Sullivan is 13-2 with his picks this week)

    Miss · 10Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 51.93-84.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    -84.82
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    9.52
    baseline:
    51.93
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    0.81
    predicted margin:
    4

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