Nick Wright· Oct 31, 2025
The host's five Week 9 NFL picks: Detroit over Minnesota, Pittsburgh +3 vs. Indianapolis, San Francisco over the Giants, Kansas City over Buffalo at Buffalo, and Seattle over Washington. He also calls the Chiefs the best team in the league and Jonathan Taylor the NFL's best running back this year.
“Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league, and I'm laying less than a field goal.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 positional finishe and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 56.7 out of 100, against 38.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 31, 2025
Detroit Lions to beat Minnesota
“I love the Lions in this spot. Maybe my favorite play of the week. It's the first one. Detroit minus eight and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorOct 31, 2025
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“And Atlanta does have the best running back in the NFL other than Jonathan Taylor this year.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-13 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -13
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 31, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington
“I think Seattle's really good. I think Washington is bad and injured. I'll take Seattle minus three.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 38-14
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 31, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo
“I think the Chiefs win by at least a field goal. I'll lay the point and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- -156
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 31, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Giants
“I think the Giants are floundering a bit... All lay the two and a half with San Francisco”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 34-24
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Power RankingsOct 31, 2025
“Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team in the league”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Parker HurleyRoster Spot Calls · Jaden DuggerHit · 100Reviewing 49ers rookies after the first preseason game, Hurley says linebacker Jaden Dugger has secured a spot on the roster after starting at MIKE.
- Jeremy BrenerRoster Spot Calls · Cooper KuppHit · 100Brener projects Seattle's wide receiver room to include Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, Tory Horton, Jake Bobo and rookie Emmanuel Henderson Jr. on the 53-man roster, leaving Montorie Foster Jr. fighting for a spot despite a strong camp and preseason showing.
- Matt DeryRoster Spot Calls · Tom KennedyMiss · 0Derry predicted a Lions win over the Saints by a 24-20 score, with the Saints covering the 7.5-point spread.
- Christian BooherRoster Spot Calls · Tom KennedyMiss · 0Booher lays out a projected Detroit Lions offensive depth chart ahead of the 2026 regular season, naming starters, backups and practice squad members at every offensive position.
- Grant CohnRoster Spot Calls · Ogbo OkoronkwoMiss · 0Cohn expects Nick Bosa to start and play heavily at defensive end in the season opener against the Rams despite knee tendinitis, with Keion White also starting at defensive end (moving inside to tackle on third down), and predicts the 49ers will call up veteran Ogbo Okoronkwo from the practice squad for the game.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Brashard SmithMiss · 0An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.