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Colin Cowherd· Sep 5, 2025

Cowherd delivered his Week 1 "blazing five": Giants keeping it close but losing to Washington 27-23, Jets beating the Steelers outright 24-20, Seahawks over the Niners 24-23, Packers over the Lions 28-24, and the under in Texans-Rams. He also picked Minnesota over Chicago on Monday night and the Chargers over the Chiefs in Brazil, while saying Kansas City makes the playoffs but won't win the tough AFC West.

I like green Bay to win outright twenty eight to twenty four.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

8 checkable claims — 4 score predictions, 2 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 54.8 out of 100, against 54.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Washington Commanders 27 — Giants 23

    I'll take Washington to win, but six and a half. I'm taking it with the Giants twenty seven to twenty three. Commanders close

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 69.11+9.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-21
    skill:
    9.39
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    69.11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 24 — 49ers 23

    I liked the Seahawks and the points to win straight out twenty four to twenty three.

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 45.3-4.9 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-13
    skill:
    -4.9
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    45.3
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 28 — Lions 24

    I like green Bay to win outright twenty eight to twenty four.

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 71.5+9.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-27
    skill:
    9.39
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    71.5
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to beat Bears

    At home Monday night play. I like Minnesota in the game close.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers to beat Kansas City

    You like Kansas City tonight. I like the Chargers.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    21-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Stroud to make Pro Bowl

    C J Stroud is a pro Bowl level

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    C.J. Stroud
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    pro_bowl
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Jets 24 — Steelers 20

    I like the Jets here to win straight out twenty four to twenty

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 49.93-9.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-32
    skill:
    -9.39
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    49.93
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    So I think they're gonna be very good. I think they'll make the playoffs, but I think the division, Jay...

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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