Marcus Mosher · May 16, 2024
Mosher names four running backs as 2024 breakout candidates: Zamir White as the Raiders' lead back, Chase Brown in an expanded Bengals role, Brian Robinson Jr. posting huge numbers in Washington's new offense, and Rico Dowdle leading the Cowboys in touches with a 1,000-yard season.
“If Dowdle stays healthy, he should post 1,000 yards and be a key cog for one of the NFC's best teams.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived May 19, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsMay 16, 2024
“Las Vegas only added Alexander Mattison to the backfield this offseason, so it will rely on White as the rushing attack's focal point.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LV
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Zamir White
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Player Season NumbersMay 16, 2024
“If Dowdle stays healthy, he should post 1,000 yards and be a key cog for one of the NFC's best teams.”
Scored 85.36a naive guess scored 0+170.71 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 375.82
- skill:
- 170.71
- what happened:
- 1079
- player:
- Rico Dowdle
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 85.36
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 361
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 390.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Depth Chart CallsMay 16, 2024
“But Dowdle will handle a lot of the heavy lifting on early downs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DAL
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Rico Dowdle
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsMay 16, 2024
“that's why Cincinnati signed Zack Moss to do the heavy lifting on early downs”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Zack Moss
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Sleeper CallsMay 16, 2024
“The Cowboys aren't expecting Dowdle to be their workhorse back in 2024, but it wouldn't be a shock if he led the team in touches.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsMay 16, 2024
“Zamir White is maybe the most obvious breakout candidate on the list”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsMay 16, 2024
“Robinson isn't that different from Conner, but he is much more explosive and could post huge numbers in 2024... Everything is lined up for Robinson to have a massive season for the Commanders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsMay 16, 2024
“The player who benefits the most from Mixon leaving is Chase Brown... Look for the Bengals to ramp up his workload in Year 2 and make him a regular part of the offense.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.