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Carmen Vitali· Feb 28, 2026

Vitally pegs Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles as probably a top-five pick in this year's draft, and expects the Bengals to lose Trey Hendrickson in free agency.

“I was going to talk about Sonny Styles, linebacker one, probably a top five pick in this year's draft, inside linebacker.”

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 95.9 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals

    “And the Bengals they're losing Trey Hendrickson to free agency or he's going to test free agency... if you're looking to replace Trey Hendrickson and you're trying to find life after Trey Hendrickson, which is what the Bengals are going to try to do”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Trey Hendrickson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → BAL
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked “probably a top five pick in this year's draft” (picks 1–5)

    “So I told you I was going to talk about Sonny Styles, linebacker one, probably a top five pick in this year's draft, inside linebacker.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    probably a top five pick in this year's draft (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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