Jared Dubin· Sep 10, 2026
Dubin picks the Rams, Texans, Ravens, Bengals, Packers, Cowboys and Broncos in Week 1 with exact scores, and says the Rams are his pick to win the Super Bowl this season.
“The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
8 checkable claims — 7 score predictions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 46.9 out of 100, against 45.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- 49ers at Rams 37 calls
- Ravens at Colts 24 calls
- Buccaneers at Bengals 31 calls
- Bills at Texans 46 calls
- Packers at Vikings 41 calls
- Cowboys at Giants 42 calls
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosSep 10, 2026
Denver Broncos 21 — Chiefs 20
“Prediction: Broncos 21, Chiefs 20”
Miss · 2Scored 2.38a naive guess scored 51.93-99.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- -99.11
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 2.38
- baseline:
- 51.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 0.81
- predicted margin:
- 1
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysSep 10, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Giants 20
“Prediction: Cowboys 31, Giants 20”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 79.68-73.65 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- -73.65
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 79.68
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 11
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersSep 10, 2026
Green Bay Packers 30 — Vikings 27
“Prediction: Packers 30, Vikings 27”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 58.25-83.17 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-39
- skill:
- -83.17
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 58.25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansSep 10, 2026
Houston Texans 20 — Bills 17
“Prediction: Texans 20, Bills 17”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 36.83+16.83 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 36-31
- skill:
- 16.83
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 36.83
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 10, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Colts 14
“Prediction: Ravens 30, Colts 14”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 5.87+178.73 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 41-23
- skill:
- 178.73
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 5.87
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 16
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsSep 10, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Buccaneers 21
“Prediction: Bengals 27, Buccaneers 21”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.44+31.11 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-33
- skill:
- 31.11
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 84.44
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.53
- predicted margin:
- 6
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsSep 10, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 21
“Prediction: Rams 31, 49ers 21”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 0+52.38 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-7
- skill:
- 52.38
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 26.19
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -8.5
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 10, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Mason CameronDepth Chart Calls · Ethan PocicMiss · 0An unsigned PFF piece ranks the NFL's top 32 centers heading into the 2026 season, with Creed Humphrey first for the fourth straight year, and names Ethan Pocic and Austin Schlottmann as the favorites to win starting center jobs in Baltimore and Tennessee.
- Pat FitzmauriceTrade and Signing Calls · Trey HendricksonMiss · 0Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati.
- Evan SilvaFantasy Defense Calls · Baltimore RavensClose · 58In his 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 10Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 7Dajani picks the Broncos over the Chiefs, 17-14.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57Prisco is the lone expert cited picking Kansas City, 20-17 over Denver.
- Mike FlorioScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 57An unsigned CBS Sports Week 1 picks column predicts final scores for all 16 games, including a Seahawks rout of the Patriots in the Super Bowl rematch and a late Chiefs win over Denver in Patrick Mahomes' return.
- David HarrisonScore Predictions · Washington CommandersClose · 48Harrison predicts the Commanders will upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 1 by a score of 27-24, driven by Jayden Daniels and timely defensive pressure. He also projects the active interior offensive line group and expects a good defensive day would hold Saquon Barkley to around 85-90 grinding yards.
- Chris RolingScore Predictions · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 31Roling predicts a lopsided Chargers home win over the Cardinals in Week 1, 30-10, and advises starting Justin Herbert and Omarion Hampton in fantasy while sitting Ladd McConkey.
- Bill HuberScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 67Huber picks the Vikings to beat the Packers 34-31 in the season opener, forecasts Matthew Golden to lead Green Bay in catches, Christian Watson to top 1,000 receiving yards, Tucker Kraft to lead in touchdowns and MarShawn Lloyd to lead the team in rushing, with Micah Parsons reaching at least eight sacks. He picks Matthew Stafford for MVP, the Bears to win the NFC North, the Rams to win the Super Bowl, and the Packers to go 8-9.