David Harrison· May 18, 2026
Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable.
“But eight wins, certainly doable.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 8 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
2 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Washington Commanders · 2026 season · wins12 calls from 9 pundits between 1 wins and 9 wins. David Harrison said 8 wins. the room's median is 7 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Commanders at Cowboys 14 calls
- Seahawks at Commanders 45 calls
- Colts at Commanders 3 calls
- Giants at Commanders 4 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Seattle Seahawks
“it's gonna be week three at home against the Seattle Seahawks ... They're gonna have a chance and potentially come out with a win that I think is is safe to say at this stage would shock the world”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 31-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Dallas Cowboys
“And finally, the eighth game of the year, I'm projecting a win for the Washington commanders right now ... the Dallas Cowboys.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Tennessee Titans
“Next up, week 13 ... you're still on the road at the Tennessee Titans ... So I just don't think they're gonna have enough to get this done.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Next game up, I think week four against the Indianapolis Colts. So very next week, obviously, you're in London.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Our next win, projection on the roster, our fifth one of the season, week 12 in Arizona.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta Falcons
“The seventh win that I can see can see coming. Week 15 against the Atlanta Falcons”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“I think that's the way that the Washington air sealed his victory against the New York Giants in week five.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to finish with 8 wins
“how do we get the commanders to eight wins? ... So how do the watch experience get to eight? How do they hit the over on that seven and a half wins?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersMay 18, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat New York Giants
“we're gonna move from week five to week 10. And, again, it's the New York Giants. This time, it's at the New York Giants ... you gotta sweep the giants”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Terry McLaurinHit · 100Hughes surveys Washington's remaining roster questions, asserting that Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs are locks for the 53-man roster and that Antonio Williams has essentially secured a spot as the third receiver, while Percy Butler's standing improved after safety cuts.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Frankie LuvuHit · 100Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Antonio WilliamsHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Johnson said Marvin Harrison Jr. needs a change of scenery in his make-or-break third year, and predicted the Bengals would handle the Steelers' secondary in their upcoming meeting.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick.
- Geoff SchwartzGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field.