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John Middlekauff· Sep 26, 2026

Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.

“So Pittsburgh loses this thing.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami

    “the Chiefs now, Monday night football, Sunday night football, getting up for road game against, I'm pretty sure, the least talented team in the league. If they try, that's a massacre.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    24-10
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tennessee Titans to beat New York Giants

    “If Jameis is taking snaps, I gotta take the Titans... I like the Titans.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    7-12
    skill:
    -189
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington

    “Seattle, Washington, Chiefs, Miami... if Seattle maintains the same edge that they had on defense against the Patriots... Mariota doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell... those got blowout written all over them”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    31-33
    skill:
    -189
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh

    “So Pittsburgh loses this thing... to me, the only way I see Cincinnati not winning this game is like it's going to have to be one of those banana Steelers defense do crazy shit.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    27-30
    skill:
    -189
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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