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Nick Wright· Dec 13, 2025

Nick Wright ran through his Week 15 stay-aways and five picks, calling the Buccaneers to beat the Falcons, the Bills to win outright in New England, Seattle to beat Indianapolis by two touchdowns, San Francisco to blow out Tennessee, plus leans on Green Bay at Denver, a 28-24 Rams win over Detroit, and Dallas over Minnesota.

“So I will take the Bills to win the game.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

7 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 48.8 out of 100, against 48 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Buffalo Bills to beat New England

    “So I will take the Bills to win the game. Bills minus one in New England.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+122 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    35-31
    skill:
    122
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers

    “I'm taking that offer. Cheeves money line Shay to win the NBA Cup MVP.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    16-13
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Tennessee

    “all lay the twelve and a half with San Francisco”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    24-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 28 — Lions 24

    “But I think this is probably a Rams twenty eight to twenty four win.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 88.16+5.73 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-41
    skill:
    5.73
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    88.16
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    4
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Denver

    “But I also think this is a green Bay win by a field goal game.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-122 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-34
    skill:
    -122
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys to beat Minnesota

    “I think Dallas wins... I would be shocked if Minnesota wins this game.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    34-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Falcons

    “I'm just going on the record. I think the Bucks are going to win and cover”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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