Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Daniel Jeremiah· Feb 18, 2025

Jeremiah walks through his new NFL.com mock draft, naming a player for nearly every first-round pick from the Titans at No. 1 through the Eagles at No. 32, and also forecasts Omarion Hampton's combine weight and 40 time.

So boom, I pump in Abdul Carter.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

32 checkable claims — 30 mock draft picks and 2 combine measurements — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 58 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

31 of 32 have settled so far, averaging 73.6 out of 100, against 50.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

32 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Omarion Hampton to post mid four fours at the combine

    He's going to run in the mid four fours

    Hit · 93Scored 93.26a naive guess scored 63.69+29.57 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    0.01
    drill:
    forty time
    naive:
    the average RB (4.52, from 165 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 0.1 — one standard deviation for a RB
    skill:
    29.57
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    result:
    4.46
    season:
    2024
    combine year:
    2025
    accuracy:
    93.26
    baseline:
    63.69
    predicted:
    4.45
    sigmas out:
    0.1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omarion Hampton to post around two hundred and twenty five pounds at the combine

    He's going to be at the combine around two hundred and twenty five pounds.

    Close · 80Scored 79.54a naive guess scored 51.1+28.44 skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    4
    drill:
    weight lbs
    naive:
    the average RB (209.27, from 211 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 12.11 — one standard deviation for a RB
    skill:
    28.44
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    result:
    221
    season:
    2024
    combine year:
    2025
    accuracy:
    79.54
    baseline:
    51.1
    predicted:
    225
    sigmas out:
    0.33
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Armand Membou to be picked at number 14

    Membo from Missouri going to the Colts. He could start it right tackle when Braden Smith's days are done

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Armand Membou
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Josh Simmons to be picked at number 23

    The Green Bay Packers Josh Simmons... so I had him go to Green Bay

    Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Josh Simmons
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 22

    a maryin Hampton going next to the Chargers and again thinking playmakers not positions

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 21

    The Pittsburgh Steelers taking Ashton Genty running back from Boise and State.

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Colston Loveland to be picked at number 20

    And then with Denver, I gave him the joker that they appear are wanting there, and that's that's a very talented tight end Coulston Levin.

    Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jahdae Barron to be picked at number 17

    We get keep it going here at seventeen one of my favorite players in the draft and Jaday... Baron from Texas... Their next pick for Cincinnati is forty nine.

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Jahdae Barron
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 16

    Sixteen through twenty sixteen Arizona Cardinals Kenneth Grant

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Kenneth Grant
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Booker to be picked at number 13

    thirteen. Miami's got to get better along the offensive line, especially in the interior. Tyler Booker, I love him as a player.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Tyler Booker
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Walter Nolen to be picked at number 12

    Walter Nolan a little bit higher than I had him, But this is ODIGAZOOA is a free agent, and so I'm like, Okay, well, who's an upfield disruptor and that's that's Walter Nolan from Old miss

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Walter Nolen
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Johnson to be picked at number 11

    So eleven Will Johnson to the Niners

    Miss · 21Scored 21.02 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Will Johnson
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    21.02
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    47
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    21.02
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 10

    How about let's get to number ten Chicago Kelvin Banks.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Kelvin Banks Jr.
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mike Green to be picked at number 9

    So the next one probably the earliest you've seen Mike Green from Marshall go... Kellen Moore being the being the coach there... but this gives him a proven pass rusher with production.

    Miss · 11Scored 11.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Mike Green
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    11.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    59
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    11.46
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalon Walker to be picked at number 8

    Yeah, So that's why I went there, Carolina... Now we go get somebody on the other side of the ball here in Jalen Walker

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Jalon Walker
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7

    Next I had speaking of Tyler Warren, Tyler Warren again, I think the second time in a row going to the Jets... that's a winner. Pick at seven.

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 6

    And this is where we get to the Raiders... I put Shudoor Sanders there, Chip Kelly coming in there... But that's why I have a six

    Miss · 0Scored 0.25 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.25
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.25
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mason Graham to be picked at number 5

    And then Jacksonville kicked around a lot of different ideas for them. I just ended up settling on Mason Gramm.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Mason Graham
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3

    The Giants... Now you get Travis Hunter to provide some excitement wherever you want to play him offense, defense.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 2

    so next Cleveland... they need to get they need an upgraded quarterback... I think absolutely cam Ward can eventually get to... So it's a cheap quarterback makes sense.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1

    First off, Tennessee Titans, first pick... So boom, I pump in Abdul Carter

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 29

    And then Washington Jahad Campbell. I'm curious we see at the combine.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Jihaad Campbell
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 31

    I mentioned it teased that Josh Connor and the tackle goes to the Kansas City Chiefs.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Josh Conerly Jr.
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malaki Starks to be picked at number 32

    And then finally the Philadelphia Eagles... I'm taking a safety... So yeah, Malachi starks

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Malaki Starks
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Golden to be picked at number 30

    Matthew Golden, one of my favorites in the draft or sever out of Texas. He goes to Buffalo.

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Matthew Golden
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 28

    Detroit Donovan Jackson who can slide right in and replace Zeidler who's a free agent.

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Donovan Jackson
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 27

    The Ravens Shamar Stewart... just big, long, physical, fast

    Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Shemar Stewart
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Darius Alexander to be picked at number 26

    this is the one you tease this a little earlier about the Rams. Darius Alexander, big, long rangey athletic.

    Miss · 18Scored 18.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Darius Alexander
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    18.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    65
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    18.46
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18

    Uh, Seattle dressed the interior of the offensive line. I wish Gray is able could clone himself... there there he goes at eighteen

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Grey Zabel
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    18
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 25

    a Mecca Buka. He gets reunited with his college quarterback C J. Stroud Houston.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    Emeka Egbuka
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 24

    Trayvon Henderson go into the Minnesota Vikings.

    Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75.64 against a shuffle’s 50+25.64 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25.64
    player:
    TreVeyon Henderson
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    38
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75.64

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalen McMillan to be picked at number 19

    And then I've got McMillan, Ted McMillan from Arizona, the big wide receiver... And with Tampa with Chris Godwin, a free agent

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.