Connor Livesay· Feb 28, 2024
Livesay offered seven bold predictions for the 2024 NFL Combine, including Byron Murphy II rising to a top-15 pick, Quinyon Mitchell emerging as the second cornerback drafted, Rome Odunze becoming WR2 in the class, Brock Bowers running a sub-4.5 40, Chop Robinson posting the fastest-ever edge 10-yard split, Jaylen Wright running the fastest 40 among offensive players, and Tyler Owens posting the fastest 40 and best vertical overall.
“My final bold prediction is Owens running the fastest 40-yard dash and having the best vertical jump.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Apr 22, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
8 checkable claims — 4 pro bowl and all-pro calls, 2 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 59.3 out of 100, against 34.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Rome Odunze to be 2nd wide receiver off the board
“3. Washington WR Rome Odunze takes over as WR2”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 13.2+57.51 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- naming one of the 35 at random averages 13.2
- skill:
- 57.51
- player:
- Rome Odunze
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 13.2
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 35
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksTyler OwensFeb 28, 2024
Tyler Owens to be picked “drafted on Day 3” (picks 101–257)
“Though he is expected to be drafted on Day 3, the Texas Tech defensive back is one of the best overall athletes in the draft.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyler Owens
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2024; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- drafted on Day 3 (picks 101–257)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsQuinyon MitchellFeb 28, 2024
Quinyon Mitchell to be 2nd cornerback off the board
“2. Toledo's Quinyon Mitchell Emerges as CB2 ... Mitchell is in a race to be the second cornerback drafted”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 25.97+44.74 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- naming one of the 13 at random averages 25.97
- skill:
- 44.74
- player:
- Quinyon Mitchell
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 25.97
- position:
- cornerback
- class size:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksByron Murphy IIFeb 28, 2024
Byron Murphy II to be picked “top-15 pick” (picks 1–15)
“1. Texas iDL Byron Murphy II emerges as top-15 pick”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Byron Murphy II
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top-15 pick (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Jaylen Wright to make Fastest 40-yard dash among offensive players at combine
“6. Tennessee RB Jaylen Wright runs fastest 40 on offense”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsChop RobinsonFeb 28, 2024
Chop Robinson to make Fastest ever EDGE 10-yard split at combine (high 1.4s)
“5. Penn State's Chop Robinson runs fastest ever EDGE 10-yard split ... I would not be surprised if he posts a number in the high 1.4s”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsTyler OwensFeb 28, 2024
Tyler Owens to make Fastest 40-yard dash and highest vertical jump at combine
“7. Texas Tech S Tyler Owens Posts fastest 40, highest vertical”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsBrock BowersFeb 28, 2024
Brock Bowers to make Sub-4.5 second 40-yard dash at NFL Combine
“4. Georgia TE Brock Bowers runs a sub 4.5 40”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
- Garrett PodellTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons.
- Joe MarinoTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100Marino projects DJ Moore to bounce back in Buffalo's offense with over 1,000 receiving yards (talking up around 1,200), and expects rookie cornerback Davison Igbinosun (IGB) to win a starting job opposite Christian Benford. He also thinks free agent Stefon Diggs ends up signing with Washington.
- Gregg RosenthalTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100Rosenthal picked rookies he expects to start right away — a Steelers left tackle and Colts linebacker — said Terry McLaurin is Washington's clear No. 1 receiver, and said he wouldn't be surprised if the Commanders signed Stefon Diggs as a solid No. 2.
- David HarrisonGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersMiss · 0Harrison predicts the Commanders will upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 1 by a score of 27-24, driven by Jayden Daniels and timely defensive pressure. He also projects the active interior offensive line group and expects a good defensive day would hold Saquon Barkley to around 85-90 grinding yards.
More pro bowl and all-pro calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat GustavsonPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Charles CrossMiss · 0Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. His awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year.
- Brandon CarneyPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Trent WilliamsMiss · 0Carney made a full playoff bracket, picking the Bears, Niners, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, then Seahawks and Rams in the NFC divisional, Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, with the Rams beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl. He also gave award picks including Stafford for MVP and Vrabel for Coach of the Year.
- Peter BukowskiPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Zach ThomasMiss · 0Bukowski breaks down combine performances and predicts Caleb Banks will be the first defensive tackle drafted, that Kyle Lewis will rise into second-round range, that Lee Hunter's poor testing will keep the Packers away, and that the Packers will not draft a tight end in the top 100. He also predicts the Packers will cut Elton Jenkins and expects Kingsley Enagbare to leave while Rashan Gary returns.
- Jeff "Coach Jags" JagodzinskiPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Tucker KraftMiss · 0The former Packers tight ends coach said Tucker Craft is a Pro Bowl-caliber tight end, and separately endorsed Christian Watson as a true No. 1 receiver for Green Bay. He also ranked the tight ends he has coached all-time.
- JP AcostaPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Devon WitherspoonMiss · 0JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Danny ParkinsPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Puka NacuaMiss · 0Parkins insisted the Bears cannot lose at home to Green Bay, laid points with Buffalo, Philadelphia (in a blowout) and Houston, picked Justin Herbert and the Chargers to beat New England, and said Puka Nacua will be a first-team All-Pro.