Nick Wright· Nov 15, 2025
Hosting the Week 11 NFL gambling show, he gave five against-the-spread picks (Miami, Chicago, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Kansas City) and several outright winner calls in games he was staying away from.
“I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 15, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona
“Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I'm only laying the two and a half. So I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 41-22
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 15, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle
“Seattle at the Rams. The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three, so the Lion is perfect.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 19-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 15, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota
“I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 15, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver
“the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver... I will still lay the three and a half... do I think the Chiefs can score twenty one even against that Denver defense. I think they can.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- -144
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 15, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville
“Chargers at Jacksonville, Jacksonville getting two and a half. I think the Chargers win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- -144
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsNov 15, 2025
Miami Dolphins to beat Washington
“I'll take Miami minus two and a half from Madrid... I think Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 13-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Josh BlackwellHit · 100Moraitis names seven Bears as trade candidates before roster cuts, predicting Kiran Amegadjie and Jedrick Wills are on the roster bubble and likely to be traded, while Ozzy Trapilo avoids an injured list, and listing several players as locks for the 53-man roster.
- Tyler DeSenaRoster Spot Calls · Kevin ColemanHit · 100DeSena expects Chris Bell to function as Miami's X-receiver, with Caleb Douglas as the deep-threat Z and Malik Washington in the slot, and considers Bell, Douglas, Washington and fifth-round rookie Kevin Coleman locks to make the 53-man roster.
- Parker HurleyRoster Spot Calls · Jaden DuggerHit · 100Reviewing 49ers rookies after the first preseason game, Hurley says linebacker Jaden Dugger has secured a spot on the roster after starting at MIKE.
- Tom JensenRoster Spot Calls · Cole KmetMiss · 0NFL.com published a list of players it expects to be released by cutdown day, headlined by tight ends Dawson Knox, T.J. Hockenson and Cole Kmet.
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Luther Burden IIIHit · 100Moraitis argues Ruben Hyppolite is at real risk of being cut, names T.J. Edwards, Devin Bush, D'Marco Jackson (and a healthy Keyshaun Elliott) as locks at linebacker, says Braxton Jones is the clear favorite to start at left tackle with Amegadjie and Wills fighting for a backup job (the loser possibly cut), and believes Scotty Miller has the edge over Kaden Davis for the final receiver spot.
- Jerry MarkarianRoster Spot Calls · Jordan van den BergHit · 100Markarian expects Grady Jarrett, Gervon Dexter Sr. and Neville Gallimore to be locks as the Bears' top three defensive tackles, with Jordan van den Berg also likely to make the roster, and sees Kentavius Street as the favorite for the last DT spot over James Lynch and UDFA Jayden Loving — though Loving could win it with a strong preseason or land on the practice squad.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Garrett PodellGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In a Week 2 bold-predictions piece, CBS Sports predicts the Giants will upset the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, dropping Los Angeles to 0-2, and that Colts quarterback Daniel Jones will throw multiple touchdowns on Sunday Night Football at Kansas City.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.