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Nick Wright· Jan 10, 2026

In his six-game "Nick's Picks" run through wild card weekend, Wright gave final scores for three games: a Rams blowout of Carolina, a narrow Bears home win over Green Bay, and a close Patriots win over the Chargers.

“Rams, 31. Panthers, 10, take the 10 and a half.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 77.8 out of 100, against 72.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsChicago BearsJan 10, 2026

    Chicago Bears 28 — Packers 24

    “I'll take the bears at home plus a point and a half. The bears win twenty eight twenty four.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95.3+4.7 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    4.7
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    95.3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsJan 10, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams 31 — Panthers 10

    “Rams, 31. Panthers, 10, take the 10 and a half.”

    Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 47.69+9.46 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    9.46
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    21

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsJan 10, 2026

    New England Patriots 24 — Chargers 21

    “I think the Patriots are gonna win. I think they're gonna win by three points... This feels to me like twenty four twenty one Patriots”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 73.88+2.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    2.31
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    73.88
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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