Cynthia Frelund· Oct 23, 2025
Freeland picked the Chiefs to beat Washington by a big margin, the Colts to blow out the Titans by more than two touchdowns, and Tampa Bay to rebound and win in New Orleans. She also likes the Ravens to win their division and had the Patriots winning.
“I think that the Chiefs win by a big margin”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 depth chart calls and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensOct 23, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“For the futures market. I think them winning the division is a very smart, fun one situation to be in.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 23, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans
“I think Tampa Bay rebounds in New Orleans”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 23-3
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsOct 23, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to beat Tennessee
“I just think the Cults role... It's just really hard to imagine a scenario where Tennessee can really keep it close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 14-38
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Depth Chart CallsTez JohnsonTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 23, 2025
Tez Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
“the fact that Megg Buka and Tes Johnson will be the two starting outside wide receivers”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 75-13.42 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- -13.42
- player:
- Tez Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart
“the fact that Megg Buka and Tes Johnson will be the two starting outside wide receivers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.42 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- 13.42
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 23, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Browns
“Plus I have the Patriots winning.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 13-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 23, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Pittsburgh
“I have green Bay winning this one... I just think that Green Bay wins this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 35-25
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 23, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Commanders
“Monday Night Football. I think that the Chiefs win by a big margin”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 7-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
What others said about the same people
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Connor predicted the Patriots would rout the Steelers at home in Week 2, expecting a heavy run game in bad weather.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Brady QuinnGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100In the weekly Picks Against the Spread segment, Quinn took the Vikings to beat the Bears outright, the Bengals to win outright in Houston, the Broncos to beat the Jaguars while laying points, and the Rams to beat the Giants while laying seven.