Marcus Mosher · Dec 31, 2024

Mosher's Week 18 power rankings for the 2024 season, ordering all 32 NFL teams with Kansas City first and the Giants last. Along the way he predicts Washington beats Dallas in Week 18, expects Atlanta to miss the playoffs and Indianapolis to miss as well, says Houston will host a playoff game as a likely heavy underdog, expects the Rams to host a home playoff game, and thinks Jerod Mayo could be a one-and-done coach.

“It's hard to imagine anyone going into Kansas City and beating them in the playoffs at this point.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff PicksDec 31, 2024
“The Rams have turned things around in the second half of the season and will be back in the postseason... the fact that they will be hosting a home playoff game is pretty wild”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
1
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsDec 31, 2024
“Here are our updated power rankings going into the final week of the 2024 season: NFL Week 17 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) ... 32. New York Giants (3-13)”
Scored 98.81a naive guess scored 67.38+33.32 skill
How this was scored
skill:
33.32
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
98.81
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
1
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksDec 31, 2024
“Houston will still host a playoff game in Round 1, but don't be surprised if it is a heavy underdog in that matchup.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
1
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksDec 31, 2024
“The Colts will not reach the postseason again, and we can only assume big changes will happen this offseason.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Game Outcome PicksDec 31, 2024
“With a win against Dallas in Week 18, they can win 12 games and clinch the No. 6 seed in the NFC. That is easier said than done... But look for Dan Quinn's squad to get that done this time around.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Surprise Team CallsDec 31, 2024
“Now, the Falcons don't control their own destiny in the NFC South, and it's become likely that they will miss the postseason again.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?