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Brandon Graham· Sep 4, 2025

Picked Zack Baun to win Defensive Player of the Year, said the Chargers will win the AFC West, and predicted an Eagles–Bills Super Bowl without naming a winner.

“I say they get over the hump this year and it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure”

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025

    Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    “it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsSep 4, 2025

    Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl

    “it'll be Eagles and Bills for sure”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Division WinnersLos Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    “I'm looking for the Chargers to be that new r and chest Rain and champion in the West”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksIsaiah BondPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025

    Isaiah Bond to win Defensive Player of the Year

    “I'm gonna keep it Eagles because Zach Bond last year... But I think he'll repeat this year”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Isaiah Bond
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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