Gregg Rosenthal · Sep 5, 2025
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; he also likes the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
“it just wouldn't shock me if the Giants come out and win this game”
said on air or in an interview · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“Jaguars minus three and a half is my pick... I just think they're a way more complete team”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 10-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsSep 5, 2025
“The Jaguars are a team I think is going to be great this year in terms of versus like their win total for instance, I really like they're over seven and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“I like the Jets giving up three points to the Steelers.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 34-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“The one that was the closest to making my top three was the Dolphins... I kind of just liked them in this spot having a one week, one week win”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 8-33
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“I'm going Giants plus six against the Commanders on the road this week... it just wouldn't shock me if the Giants come out and win this game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSep 5, 2025
“Your Lions are two and a half point underdogs to the Green Bay Packers... I just think the Lions are a better team... This is probably be my number one pick”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.