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Zack Kelberman· Aug 18, 2026

Kelberman expects Denver to keep only three running backs on the initial 53-man roster, with JK Dobbins, Jonah Coleman and RJ Harvey all locks to make it.

“Denver may only end up keeping three RBs on their final, 53-man roster when it's finalized at the end of the month — Dobbins, Coleman, and Harvey being locks.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Roster Spot CallsRJ HarveyDenver BroncosAug 18, 2026

    RJ Harvey to make the roster

    “Denver may only end up keeping three RBs on their final, 53-man roster when it's finalized at the end of the month — Dobbins, Coleman, and Harvey being locks.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    37906fdb-d6a7-43cf-9df4-6df21ad0731c
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Roster Spot CallsJ.K. DobbinsDenver BroncosAug 18, 2026

    J.K. Dobbins to make the roster

    “Denver may only end up keeping three RBs on their final, 53-man roster when it's finalized at the end of the month — Dobbins, Coleman, and Harvey being locks.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    c720ef64-0d71-4d8b-b47a-48e3fc2e276b
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Roster Spot CallsJonah ColemanDenver BroncosAug 18, 2026

    Jonah Coleman to make the roster

    “Denver may only end up keeping three RBs on their final, 53-man roster when it's finalized at the end of the month — Dobbins, Coleman, and Harvey being locks.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    200
    player:
    1463eede-c5d5-49b8-b86a-eeff714edc0f
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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