Marcus Mosher · Oct 15, 2024

Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter.

“There aren’t three teams in the NFL who are worse than the Jaguars right now.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart CallsOct 15, 2024
“It feels like it’s only a matter of time before Mason Rudolph replaces him in the starting lineup.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-13.92 skill
How this was scored
club:
TEN
skill:
-13.92
player:
Mason Rudolph
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.67
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
12
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Playoff PicksOct 15, 2024
“Pittsburgh isn’t a great team, but it has a clear identity and should still wind up being a playoff team.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsOct 15, 2024
“Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
Scored 89.7a naive guess scored 67.38+37.28 skill
How this was scored
skill:
37.28
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
89.7
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersOct 15, 2024
“The Texans already have a massive lead in the AFC South, and they could have the division wrapped up by Thanksgiving.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksOct 15, 2024
“Arizona is better than what it displayed on Sunday, but this isn’t a playoff team, either.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?