Lance Zierlein· Mar 1, 2025
Zierlein said Kansas State's Jacob Parrish helped himself with his testing and will be a second-round cornerback, put South Carolina safety Nick Emnori inside the top 16 after his workout, pegged Mason Taylor as the third tight end off the board and possibly a first-rounder, and called Alabama's Robbie Oots a future NFL fullback who will be on a roster.
“He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 69 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJacob ParrishMar 1, 2025
Jacob Parrish to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“He is a guy who is going to move up. He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.”
Close · 42Scored 42.04a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jacob Parrish
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 42.04
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 84
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 42.04
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsMason TaylorMar 1, 2025
Mason Taylor to be 3rd tight end off the board
“I know that I think Mason Taylor will probably be the third guy off... I think Mason Taylor's a third”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 28.72+71.28 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 16 at random averages 28.72
- skill:
- 71.28
- player:
- Mason Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 28.72
- position:
- tight end
- class size:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksMason TaylorMar 1, 2025
Mason Taylor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“it wouldn't shock me if maybe a sneaky third tight end got into the first round. Yeah, with Mason Taylor”
Close · 65Scored 64.84a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Mason Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 42
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Roster Spot CallsRobbie OuztsMar 1, 2025
Robbie Ouzts to make the roster
“Now he is an NFL fallback. He'll be he'll be on a team, and he'll probably get pretty good reps as an NFL fullback.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksNick EmmanworiMar 1, 2025
Nick Emmanwori to be picked “inside the top sixteen”
“he can't get past the middle of the draft, Like it's just he's not getting to the second held... But now this is one of these things where he's inside the top sixteen to me.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Daniel JeremiahPlayer Season Numbers · Nick EmmanworiMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.
- Jourdan RodrigueMock Draft Picks · Mason TaylorClose · 65Co-authoring the same consensus first-round mock, Rodrigue endorsed every pick, personally pushing Ashton Jeanty to Jacksonville at five, Tyler Warren to the Bears at ten, Emeka Egbuka to Washington at 29 and Nick Emanwori to Buffalo at 30.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Mason TaylorClose · 65Co-hosting a consensus mock draft with Jordan Rodrigue, Rosenthal signed off on all 32 first-round picks of the 2025 NFL Draft, including Cam Ward first to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, Armand Membou to New England at four and Shedeur Sanders sliding to the Saints at nine.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Mason TaylorClose · 65Rosenthal made the even-numbered picks in the mock, taking Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and finishing with Mason Taylor to the Eagles at 32, including Shedeur Sanders sliding to the Rams at 26.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Mason TaylorClose · 65Jeremiah shared his updated top-50 board rankings for the draft class, placing Nick Emmanwori 15th, Donovan Ezeiruaku 25th, Walter Nolen 28th, Mason Taylor 32nd and Jackson Dart 36th. He believes Nolen will be off the board well before pick 28, projects Mason Taylor to the Eagles at No. 32, and thinks Tyler Booker can be an early-career Pro Bowler in the right scheme.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Mason TaylorClose · 65Brooks argued Mason Taylor is a worthy bottom-of-the-first-round pick and could be the third tight end drafted, and he also expects Jalen Milroe to be drafted higher than expected based on tools.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.