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Jack Andrade· Mar 4, 2025

Relayed by Daniel Jeremiah as researcher Jack's shocker pick: the Bears take Gray Zabel at No. 10 overall.

For the Shaker, the Bears take Gray Zabel at ten.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 70.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
10They said
18What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Grey Zabel to be picked at number 10

    So this is what Jack cooked up... For the Shaker, the Bears take Gray Zabel at ten.

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Grey Zabel
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    18
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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