Brandon Carney· Mar 2, 2026

Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. He also ranks his top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.

“I think Gino's going to the Vikings.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls, 2 depth chart calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 87.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

David Montgomery · 2026 season

Brandon Carney — 1the room — 21 calls from 14 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

not gonna go in the top 10 (picks 1–10)They said

13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Ty SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “not gonna go in the top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Ty Simpson could be something, but Ty Simpson's not gonna go in the top 10.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
not gonna go in the top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Geno Smith Minnesota VikingsMar 2, 2026
Geno Smith to move to Minnesota Vikings
“I think Gino's going to the Vikings. I think Gino's gonna be their quarterback”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Geno Smith Minnesota VikingsMar 2, 2026
Geno Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think Gino's gonna be their quarterback, and I think he's gonna be okay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Mike Evans Tampa Bay BuccaneersMar 2, 2026
Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I'm very much predicting that he ends up sticking with the, with the Buccaneers here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Wan'Dale RobinsonMar 2, 2026
Wan'Dale Robinson to move
“we will likely be seeing Wandel Robinson elsewhere other than New York”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsMar 2, 2026
“I would say Chase one. Okay. Puka two. Yep. Lamb three for now. JSN four.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls David Montgomery Houston TexansMar 2, 2026
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
“you've got this running back who's gonna be the starting running back on in offense with potential”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris BrockmanTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldHit · 100
Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North.
Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100
Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets.
Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100
Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy.
Jon GrudenTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldHit · 100
The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done.
Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldHit · 100
The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100
Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule.

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.