Derek Brown· Aug 3, 2026
Derek Brown predicted Derrick Henry remains an RB1 with top-five upside, David Montgomery owns the Houston backfield with a low-end RB2 floor and low-end RB1 ceiling, Terry McLaurin returns to top-15 (possibly WR1) production, and Travis Kelce finishes as a top-12, likely top-7 tight end.
“Derek Henry's gonna be an RB one until he decides to hang up the cleats.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 6 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 4.
Where this call stands in the room
David Montgomery · 2026 season12 calls from 11 pundits between 1 and 1. Derek Brown said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the record
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Derrick Henry to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“Derek Henry's gonna be an RB one until he decides to hang up the cleats... But again, an RB twelve or higher every single year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Derrick Henry to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“If he catches any more passes in this Doyle offense this year could be a top five back”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Terry McLaurin to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“Gall that got all the touchdowns in Jane Daniels rookie season was a top fifteen wide receiver. I think he can go back to being that. Heck, he could be a wide receiver one this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
“I'm not worried about Woody Marks at all... I think this backfield will be owned by David Montgomery.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth)
“Terry McLaurin, baby wide receiver, twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth... we could see a career best season for McLaurin. So the safe floor is there, But also there's a ton of ceiling here too.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“but he's still gonna be a top twelve tight end. He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Travis Kelce to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points
“He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy... that's still a quality tight end one with top seven upside”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
“And the floor is low end RB two and the ceiling is not hard to see again, go back to twenty twenty four Joe Mixon and if David Montgomery could be a low end RB one this year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.
- Jason La CanforaRoster Spot Calls · Gerad LichtenhanMiss · 0La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
- Garrett PodellTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonPositional Finishes · Christian GonzalezMiss · 0Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.